WHY SOUTHERN STATES ARE NERVOUS ABOUT DELIMITATION

Southern states worry that delimitation based on population could reduce their representation as slower growth in the south contrasts with northern states. The independent commission’s redrawing of boundaries, frozen since 1976, may benefit northern states, shifting political power. Proposed solutions include expanding Lok Sabha size or using weighted criteria.

Last Updated on 4th March, 2025
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Context:

The concern of southern states about delimitation originates from concerns that population-based seat redistribution could reduce their political representation in Parliament due to slower population growth compared to northern states.

What is Delimitation?

Delimitation is the process of redrawing parliamentary and assembly constituency boundaries based on population changes to ensure equitable representation (Article 82 of the Constitution).

It is conducted by an independent Delimitation Commission, whose decisions are final and cannot be challenged in court.

The objective is to uphold "one person, one vote" by adjusting constituency boundaries and seat allocations after each census.

Pre-1976: Delimitation occurred after every census (1951, 1961, 1971), increasing Lok Sabha seats from 494 to 543 by 1973.

1976 Freeze: The 42nd Amendment froze seat allocations at 1971 census levels until 2001, incentivizing population control. This freeze was extended until 2026 by the 84th Amendment (2001), preserving southern states' seat share despite demographic shifts.

Why Southern States Are Concerned

Population Disparity

Southern states (e.g., Tamil Nadu, Kerala) have slower population growth due to better healthcare, education, and family planning. Northern states (e.g., Uttar Pradesh, Bihar) have higher growth rates.

Potential Seat Loss

If delimitation uses the latest census data (2021 or 2031), northern states could gain seats, while southern states might lose or stagnate. For example:

  • Scenario 1 (10.11 lakh avg. population per seat): UP (including Uttarakhand) could triple its seats to 250, while Kerala’s seats would rise modestly from 20 to 36 .
  • Scenario 2 (20 lakh avg. per seat): UP would gain 126 seats, Kerala would lose 2, and Tamil Nadu would see no change .

Political Power Shift

Southern parties fear losing influence in national politics, benefiting northern parties like the BJP, which dominate the Hindi heartland.

Way Forward

Increase Lok Sabha Size: Expand seats significantly (e.g., to 753) to accommodate northern gains without penalizing the south.

Weighted Criteria: Factor in socio-economic indicators or historical seat shares, though this deviates from strict population-based allocation.

Extend Freeze: Delay delimitation beyond 2026, though this risks perpetuating demographic imbalances. .

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DELIMITATION EXERCISE

DELIMITATION COMMISSION

DELAY IN CENSUS DELAY REFORMS

Source:

INDIANEXPRESS

PRACTICE QUESTION

Q. Examine the population growth trends in southern v/s northern states. How might these trends disproportionately impact the parliamentary seat allocation of southern states post-delimitation? 250 words

https://t.me/+hJqMV1O0se03Njk9

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