Editorial Analysis 19 June
International Relations
The high cost of a global economic decoupling
Source: The Hindu
Context
- The U.S. has imposed new tariffs on Chinese imports, reigniting concerns of economic decoupling and highlighting the role of national security in trade decisions.
- The geopolitical tension between China and the U.S., and the resultant protectionist measures, have significant implications for global trade dynamics, affecting economies worldwide.
Details
Key Points
- Tariff Imposition by U.S.:
- The Biden administration has introduced new tariffs on Chinese imports, targeting sectors like electric vehicles (EVs) and medical devices.
- This move aligns with political, rather than purely economic, considerations, reinforcing President Biden's pro-union stance and supporting domestic manufacturing efforts.
- Impact on U.S. Domestic Market:
- Tariffs on Chinese EVs and medical devices aim to reduce dependency on China and promote local industries.
- However, this protectionist approach may lead to higher consumer prices and increased healthcare costs in the U.S.
- Global Economic Consequences:
- The S.-China tariff war could delay global green transition targets due to new import restrictions on Chinese clean energy products.
- Western multinationals relying on China's consumer market may experience reduced earnings due to China's slowing growth and rising household debts.
- Effect on Other Economies:
- Resource-rich countries like Australia and Brazil could face economic challenges due to reduced Chinese demand for commodities.
- Southeast Asia's economic prospects might be impacted by U.S. policies on rules of origin and dependence on Chinese technology and investment.
- India's Position:
- India is expected to benefit from the decoupling dynamics but faces competition from South and South-East Asian neighbours in low-end manufacturing.
- Despite government initiatives, India's manufacturing sector is still in a catching-up phase and has significant economic ties with China.
- Geopolitical Implications:
- The ongoing S.-China economic conflict reflects a shift in global trade dynamics, with countries reevaluating their trade policies based on national security concerns.
- The fragmentation of the global economy and the distancing from World Trade Organization (WTO) rules by major powers pose risks to the liberal international order.
Sources:
The Hindu
International Relations
New dynamics
Source: The Hindu
Context
- The G-7 Outreach Summit emphasized engaging the Global South, discussing global financial and development issues, and highlighted challenges in maintaining influence amid geopolitical shifts and economic uncertainties.
Details
Key Points
- G-7 Outreach Summit:
- Italy's Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni hosted the summit, focusing on inclusive engagement beyond the traditional "West vs the Rest" narrative.
- The summit included leaders from BRICS and seven African countries, discussing energy issues.
- Global Issues Addressed:
- Discussions covered a range of global challenges, including the Russia-Ukraine conflict, support for Ukraine, and the Gaza ceasefire appeal.
- Emphasis was placed on China’s role in the Indo-Pacific and addressing "industrial targeting" and unfair trade practices.
- Economic and Geopolitical Shifts:
- The summit underscored the impact of manufacturing slowdowns, the COVID-19 pandemic, and Western sanctions on the G-7's effectiveness.
- Highlighted the need for the G-7 to reassess its identity and purpose in a rapidly changing global power dynamic.
- India’s Participation:
- Prime Minister Narendra Modi attended for the eleventh time, focusing on India's democratic achievements, technology, artificial intelligence, and the importance of the Global South and Africa.
- India’s engagement in the G-7 Summit and its emphasis on larger, more representational forums like the G-20 were highlighted.
- Outcomes and Challenges:
- The joint communiqué listed global problems but lacked concrete plans for resolution.
- Discussions on infrastructure projects, including the India-Middle East-Europe Corridor, highlighted a gap between planning and execution.
Sources:
The Hindu
Economy - Infrastructure
To get back on track
Source: Indian Express
Context
- The Indian Railways faces severe challenges with declining market share, safety issues, and stagnant speeds, necessitating urgent policy and administrative reforms to enhance efficiency and competitiveness.
Details
Key Points
- Railway Safety Issues:
- Recent train accidents highlight ongoing safety concerns.
- Comptroller and Auditor General (CAG) reports emphasize high asset failure rates, especially signal failures and rail fractures.
- Despite manning of unmanned railroad crossings, derailments and collisions remain problematic.
- Speed and Punctuality Concerns:
- No significant increase in average speeds of mail and express trains (stagnant at 50-51 kmph).
- Freight train speeds have marginally declined.
- Failure to achieve targets set under Mission Raftar for speed enhancement.
- Market Share and Operational Challenges:
- Consistent loss of market share in both passenger and freight sectors.
- Stagnation or decline in total freight and passenger traffic volumes since 2010-12.
- Comparison with road and air transport growth (6-12% annually).
- Policy and Administrative Issues:
- Railway Board's inconsistency in policies and plans for future growth.
- Misplaced priorities on high-cost projects like bullet trains and dedicated freight corridors.
- Introduction of Vande Bharat trains focusing more on luxury than speed.
- Long-term Implications:
- Potential relegation of Indian Railways to a secondary role similar to that in countries like the US, Canada, and Australia.
- Urgent need for a thorough review and reform of priorities to prevent continued decline.
- Economic and Developmental Impact:
- Importance of a robust railway system for a large, densely populated developing country like India.
- Need to balance infrastructural investments with safety, speed, and capacity improvements.
Sources:
Indian Express